I was wrong about both the major elections in 2016. I thought the British people would vote in favour of remaining in the European Union – mostly out of inertia and fear of change rather than any great love for this corrupt and incompetent organisation. I also thought Hillary “Elect me because I’m a woman” Clinton would defeat Donald “I’m a friend of the working man but I live like an emperor in my golden tower” Trump. Shows what I know! But most of the people who get paid to comment on politics called these two elections wrong too. And it hasn’t stopped them commenting so why should I stop?
What really strikes me is the lack of enthusiasm for this election in the UK. The country has effectively been in election mode for the past three years and now has to go through a fourth cycle. The Scottish Referendum in 2014 sucked in most of the politicians in the UK, then there was a general election in 2015, followed by the months-long EU referendum. And now Mrs May in her wisdom wants everyone to go round again. The political and media class may be excited by this but I think the average voter will be less than enthused. I don’t count myself as an average voter because I have a blog that I use to rant about politics but I hope you take my point.
An interesting article in the Guardian by their chief Islamist-apologist Owen Jones today. The Guardian is one of the main pushers of identity politics in the UK, they have columnists who can find a racial, a “feminist” or a gay angle to just about any issue. Jones has a peculiar blindspot because he will rant about Trump or the Tories or anyone else being “sexist” or “homophobic” but he will never criticise an Islamist for the same secular sins. He is extremely fond of ad hominem attacks; once he has pronounced you “far right” there is no hope for you. But today he seems to have made the astonishing discovery that most people do not care very much about politics. He writes…
“People who voted leave didn’t regard remainers as effete metropolitan elitist saboteurs; remainers didn’t see leavers as knuckle-dragging bigoted Neanderthals. The appetite to turn neighbour against neighbour over the referendum – and to transform the aftermath into a full-blown culture war – certainly exists in certain media and political circles. My suspicion is that people are growing pretty weary of it. I found that most are too decent and busy to hate each other.”
The only people who believe this was actually happening are Jones and his fellow political obsessives. The political and media class will spend the next seven weeks debating endless minor political points and will hype up the differences between the various factions of the Establishment. Most people will take very little notice. I have to say that I agree with Theresa May that most voters want the government to get on with Brexit whether they vote Leave or Remain. The EU obsessives who keep going on about the “48%” are no more representative of the 16,000,000 who voted to Remain than the purple-tied buffoons who have wasted the last three decades worrying about the EU are representative of the 17,000,000 who voted to Leave. And would it be cynical to suggest that some of the aforementioned EU obsessives seem to have a rather large financial interest in the UK staying part of the EU?
At the time of writing, I can’t see any result other than a resounding Conservative victory in this election. Jeremy Corbyn has failed to grow into his role as leader of the Labour Party and destroyed his “man of principle” persona by supporting Remain in the referendum after 30+ years of Bennite opposition to the EU. Tim Farron is a joke and so is his party, jumping into bed with David Cameron and tripling tuition fees just so Nick Clegg could be Deputy PM for a few years . UKIP without Nigel Farage are an ungovernable rabble. Nicola Sturgeon has achieved the almost impossible – being less likeable than the loathsome Alex Salmond. And every time the war criminal Tony Blair opens his mouth in the next couple of months, he will get another few thousand people to vote Conservative. The only personable party leader is Leanne Wood of Plaid Cymru.
I do not want the above to happen. This is my honest assessment of what will happen. The best thing that could happen in the next couple of months is Jean-Luc Melenchon being elected President of France. If the second round of the French election comes down to Melenchon against Marine Le Pen, it will make the ludicrous overreaction by the Brussels Establishment to the Brexit vote look calm and measured.
Vote Melenchon. Vive la France.